Bundesliga 23/24 wk 34

[Jesper Lauridsen]

What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.

Cl spots have been handed out. Frankfurt has EL if Leverkusen wins
the cup, otherwise Hoff could steal it (3 points + 3 goals). Freiburg
could take conference or EL from Hoff. In case of Leverkusen winning
the cup, and Freiburg losing in Berlin, Heidenheim, Augsburg, or
Werder could take the conference spot from Freiburg.

The upshot is that only 2 matches are entirely without importance.

Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.

Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt
Union - Freiburg
Leverkusen - Augsburg
Frankfurt - Leipzig
Wolfsburg - Mainz
Hoffenheim - Bayern
Werder - Bochum
Stuttgart - Gladbach
Heidenheim - Köln

[The Doctor]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.
Cl spots have been handed out. Frankfurt has EL if Leverkusen wins
the cup, otherwise Hoff could steal it (3 points + 3 goals). Freiburg
could take conference or EL from Hoff. In case of Leverkusen winning
the cup, and Freiburg losing in Berlin, Heidenheim, Augsburg, or
Werder could take the conference spot from Freiburg.
The upshot is that only 2 matches are entirely without importance.
Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt
Union - Freiburg
Leverkusen - Augsburg
Frankfurt - Leipzig
Wolfsburg - Mainz
Hoffenheim - Bayern
Werder - Bochum
Stuttgart - Gladbach
Heidenheim - Köln

2 - 2 and 50 red cards fly!

[Werner Pichler]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.
Cl spots have been handed out. Frankfurt has EL if Leverkusen wins
the cup, otherwise Hoff could steal it (3 points + 3 goals). Freiburg
could take conference or EL from Hoff. In case of Leverkusen winning
the cup, and Freiburg losing in Berlin, Heidenheim, Augsburg, or
Werder could take the conference spot from Freiburg.

And the EL spot could still be upgraded to a CL spot.

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
The upshot is that only 2 matches are entirely without importance.
Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.

No Friday game, that will help some of us.

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt

4-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Union - Freiburg

2-0

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Leverkusen - Augsburg

5-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Frankfurt - Leipzig

3-3

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Wolfsburg - Mainz

1-0

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Hoffenheim - Bayern

2-4

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Werder - Bochum

3-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Stuttgart - Gladbach

4-0

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Heidenheim - Köln

1-1


Ciao,
Werner

[Futbolmetrix]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.

With the standings having such an outsized importance, it is time for Algorithm 3.0!

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.

You will not make any more snarky remarks once the power of Algo 3.0 hits you!

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt

4-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Union - Freiburg

Something To Play For (STPF) factor stronger for Union than Freiburg: 2-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Leverkusen - Augsburg

STPF very big for Leverkusen, but will have their heads to Atalanta? 3-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Frankfurt - Leipzig

STPF factor almost insignificant for both: 2-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Wolfsburg - Mainz

Big STPF factor for Mainz: 1-2

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Hoffenheim - Bayern

STPF factor clearly favors Hoff, but Bayern doesn't care. 1-2

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Werder - Bochum

STPF factors favors Bochum 1-2 (OK, maybe this Algo 3.0 is just as shit as 1.0 and 2.0...)

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Stuttgart - Gladbach

Stuttgart could climb to second place: 2-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Heidenheim - Köln

My last chance to go for Heidenheim before they finish last next year 2-1, STPF factor be damned!

[MH]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.
Cl spots have been handed out. Frankfurt has EL if Leverkusen wins
the cup, otherwise Hoff could steal it (3 points + 3 goals). Freiburg
could take conference or EL from Hoff. In case of Leverkusen winning
the cup, and Freiburg losing in Berlin, Heidenheim, Augsburg, or
Werder could take the conference spot from Freiburg.
The upshot is that only 2 matches are entirely without importance.
Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt

2-0

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Union - Freiburg

1-2

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Leverkusen - Augsburg

3-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Frankfurt - Leipzig

1-2

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Wolfsburg - Mainz

1-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Hoffenheim - Bayern

1-3

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Werder - Bochum

2-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Stuttgart - Gladbach

3-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Heidenheim - Köln

0-2

[Jesper Lauridsen]

On 2024-05-16, Jesper Lauridsen <***@sorrystofanet.dk> wrote:
To keep MH at bay, I have to think like MH. Or just make random picks.

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt

4-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Union - Freiburg

Union need not fear Köln. 1-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Leverkusen - Augsburg

The only tv game here. 4-0

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Frankfurt - Leipzig

2-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Wolfsburg - Mainz

A question of motivation. 1-2

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Hoffenheim - Bayern

2-3

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Werder - Bochum

One of those crazy last day matches. 3-3

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Stuttgart - Gladbach

4-1

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Heidenheim - Köln

This is where it ends. 2-1

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Last round of the 3. Liga was earlier today. Only open question was if
Regensburg could pass Münster for the second direct promotion
spot. However as within the first 10 minutes Münster went a goal up,
and Regensburg one down, the drama never came.

25 minutes.
Dortmund - Darmstadt 0-0
Union - Freiburg 0-0
Leverkusen - Augsburg 1-0
Frankfurt - Leipzig 0-0
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-1
Hoffenheim - Bayern 1-2
Werder - Bochum 1-0
Stuttgart - Gladbach 1-0
Heidenheim - Köln 2-0

Everyone playing for Union. No wait, Mainz just got the 1-1
MH 22
Jesper 21
Werner 20
FM 20
Doc 18

[Jesper Lauridsen]

HT
Dortmund - Darmstadt 2-0
Union - Freiburg 0-0
Leverkusen - Augsburg 2-0
Frankfurt - Leipzig 0-1
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-1
Hoffenheim - Bayern 1-2
Werder - Bochum 1-0
Stuttgart - Gladbach 2-0
Heidenheim - Köln 3-0

One goal is all Union needs.

MH 34
FM 24
Jesper 24
Werner 19
Doc 12

Rückrunde
MH 401
Jesper 397
Werner 378
FM 372
Binder 290
Doc 246

[Jesper Lauridsen]

70 minutes (give or take)
Dortmund - Darmstadt 2-0
Union - Freiburg 0-0
Leverkusen - Augsburg 2-1
Frankfurt - Leipzig 1-2
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-1
Hoffenheim - Bayern 2-2
Werder - Bochum 1-0
Stuttgart - Gladbach 2-0
Heidenheim - Köln 3-1

MH 31
Jesper 19
Werner 18
FM 18
Doc 18

Rückrunde
MH 398
Jesper 392
Werner 377
FM 366
Binder 290
Doc 252

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
70 minutes (give or take)
Union - Freiburg 0-0
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-1
Werder - Bochum 1-0

Goals now for Mainz and Union! Bochum now on the relegation playoff.

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
70 minutes (give or take)
Union - Freiburg 0-0
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-1
Werder - Bochum 1-0

Goals now for Mainz and Union! Bochum now on the relegation playoff.

Algo 3.0 wakes up
FM 29
Werner 26
Jesper 25
MH 19
Doc 14

[Jesper Lauridsen]

FT
Dortmund - Darmstadt 4-0 (16)
Union - Freiburg 2-1 (12)
Leverkusen - Augsburg 2-1 (16)
Frankfurt - Leipzig 2-2 (13)
Wolfsburg - Mainz 1-3 (12)
Hoffenheim - Bayern 4-2 (2)
Werder - Bochum 4-1 (8)
Stuttgart - Gladbach 4-0 (16)
Heidenheim - Köln 4-1 (9)

Freiburg got the 1-1 in Berlin with 5 minutes to go, but in added
time, after their second penalty, Union made it 2-1 and survived.

Werner 28
FM 28
Jesper 22
MH 17
Doc 9

Fancy machine intelligence or Austrian hockey knowledge? It's a wash.

Red Jersey
Jesper 808
MH 770
Werner 763
FM 757
Binder 617
Doc 464

Stage wins
Jesper 11
Werner 8
MH 6
FM 6
Binder 4
Doc 3

Hinrunde
Jesper 413
MH 386
FM 381
Werner 376
Binder 327
Doc 221

Rückrunde
Jesper 395
Werner 387
MH 384
FM 376
Binder 290
Doc 243

[Futbolmetrix]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Werner 28
FM 28
Jesper 22
MH 17
Doc 9
Fancy machine intelligence or Austrian hockey knowledge? It's a wash.

Getting the final stage win on the Champs Elysees is always sweet.

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Red Jersey
Jesper 808
MH 770
Werner 763
FM 757
Binder 617
Doc 464

Jesper's 808 points, divided by 306 matches, means 2.64 points per match. Now let's say that I missed about 50% of the Friday matches. If I had made picks in them, at an average rate, I would have 17*2.64=44.88 points more, so 802 points in total.

I'll take the virtual runner-up crown.

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Post by Futbolmetrix

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Red Jersey
Jesper 808
MH 770
Werner 763
FM 757
Binder 617
Doc 464

Jesper's 808 points, divided by 306 matches, means 2.64 points per match. Now let's say that I missed about 50% of the Friday matches. If I had made picks in them, at an average rate, I would have 17*2.64=44.88 points more, so 802 points in total.
I'll take the virtual runner-up crown.

A count shows 26 entries into cell N20 in the 34 prediction sheets, so
you've only missed 8 Friday matches. And using the leader's point
average is a somewhat questionable method. Your actual point average
is 2.54. But are Friday matches average? MH is 0.1 below his normal
average on Fridays, while I'm 0.03 below.

OTOH, you're 0.3 points UP on the Fridays you have predicted. Which
implies that the missing 8 Fridays were low scoring.

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Hall of Fame:
Overall Stages Hinrunde Rückrunde
23/24: Jesper Jesper Jesper Jesper
22/23: Jesper Futbolmetrix Jesper Jesper
21/22: Jesper Jesper MH Jesper
20/21: Futbolmetrix Futbolmetrix Jesper Futbolmetrix
19/20: Jesper Jesper Jesper MH
18/19: Jesper Werner MH Jesper
17/18: Jesus Werner Hartmut MH/Werner
16/17: Jesus Jesus/Jesper Jesus Jesus
15/16: Jesper Jesper Sven Jesper
14/15: Sven Sven Hartmut Sven
13/14: Futbolmetrix Hartmut MH Clément
12/13: Jesper Jesper Jesper Sven

[Jesper Lauridsen]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
Last round of the 3. Liga was earlier today. Only open question was if
Regensburg could pass Münster for the second direct promotion
spot. However as within the first 10 minutes Münster went a goal up,
and Regensburg one down, the drama never came.

So Regensburg will playoff against the 16th place from the 2. Bundesliga.
That was between Wehen and Rostock, with the former 1 point and better
GD ahead of the later. Wehen got an early 1-0, so looked pretty secure.
But the second half brought a 1-1, while Rostock got *their* 1-0. For
23 minutes Rostock was in 16th place, but conceded twice in the final
20 minutes, and went down.

To the surprise of absolutely nobody, the match had to be suspended
towards the end, due to crowd trouble. Eventually the last few minutes
could be played, and the demotion confirmed.

[Werner Pichler]

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
What's still open in the final round?
In theory Köln could still take the playoff spot from Union (needs 3
points and 4 goals). Union could leave the spot to Mainz or Bochum.
The later two are safe with a draw.
Cl spots have been handed out. Frankfurt has EL if Leverkusen wins
the cup, otherwise Hoff could steal it (3 points + 3 goals). Freiburg
could take conference or EL from Hoff. In case of Leverkusen winning
the cup, and Freiburg losing in Berlin, Heidenheim, Augsburg, or
Werder could take the conference spot from Freiburg.

Heidenheim (or Kaiserslautern, but not going to
happen) in Europe, you love to see it.

Ciao,
Werner

Post by Jesper Lauridsen
The upshot is that only 2 matches are entirely without importance.
Note: Unlike some other RSS games, all matches will be played on
the SAME weekend.
Sat
Dortmund - Darmstadt
Union - Freiburg
Leverkusen - Augsburg
Frankfurt - Leipzig
Wolfsburg - Mainz
Hoffenheim - Bayern
Werder - Bochum
Stuttgart - Gladbach
Heidenheim - Köln

[Futbolmetrix]

Post by Werner Pichler
Heidenheim (or Kaiserslautern, but not going to
happen) in Europe, you love to see it.

My favorite team! Heart emoji, heart emoji, heart emoji