2020-03-14 17:21:44 UTC
track of the Covid-19 data for China, Italy and the ROTW, going all the
way back to early January for China (I've been back in Beijing for a
month) and from the date of the first death in Italy. As you'll see from
the China data, this virus has a shelf life of about 12 weeks. China
will be more or less clear by the end of the month. Europe's problems
are just starting, the virus is weeks away from hitting its peak. As for
the US, given the low number of tests carried out, boy will they be up
shit creek next month.
Manufacturing and education will be the hardest hit sectors. If you work
in either, you've got a long 2 months ahead.
My space is data related, no conspiracy theory bullshit, and I have
contributions from statisticians and have accepted a request from an
apprentice who works at the genetics department at the university of
Wisconsin who will provide health tips and debunk some of the nonsense
floating around. Of course, if you have any questions, you can ask me as
well. I've lived it, I've done a ton of reading on it and am in contact
with doctors so am as clued up as it gets.
Oh, and I think there's a chance it's coming back next winter.