Discussion:
The John de Lange RSS Sophisticated Prediction Contest: European Cups 2018-2019 Knockout Round edition
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Futbolmetrix
2019-02-06 15:24:39 UTC
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See link below for spreadsheets. May the most sophisticated man, woman or BOT win:

https://wordpress.com/post/futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/192
Futbolmetrix
2019-02-06 15:57:48 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
https://wordpress.com/post/futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/192
This time with the correct link:

https://futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/2019/02/06/sophisticated-prediction-contest-european-cups-2018-2019-knockout-round/
Futbolmetrix
2019-02-11 14:28:34 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Post by Futbolmetrix
https://wordpress.com/post/futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/192
https://futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/2019/02/06/sophisticated-prediction-contest-european-cups-2018-2019-knockout-round/
Reminder: barely more than 24 hours to submit your EL entry (Fenerbahce-Zenit kicks off Tuesday at 18:55 CET).

A bit more than that for the CL entries.

Entries so far:

CL:
Agnostic
FiveThirtyEight
Jesus
MH
Futbolmetrix

EL:
Agnostic
Jesus


My CL entry:

Futbolmetrix
P_R16 P_QF P_SF P_LF P_WF Total
Schalke 04 .9600 .0300 .0050 .0030 .0020 1.0000 OK
Manchester City .0400 .2400 .2330 .2100 .2770 1.0000 OK
1.000
OK
Atletico Madrid .6700 .1650 .0900 .0450 .0300 1.0000 OK
Juventus .3300 .2570 .2000 .1200 .0930 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Manchester United .3000 .3300 .2500 .0700 .0500 1.0000 OK
Paris Saint-Germain .7000 .1500 .0900 .0350 .0250 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Tottenham Hotspur .6500 .2150 .0800 .0300 .0250 1.0000 OK
Borussia Dortmund .3500 .4800 .1200 .0300 .0200 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Lyon .9800 .0100 .0050 .0030 .0020 1.0000 OK
Barcelona .0200 .3800 .2450 .1680 .1870 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Roma .4200 .5000 .0500 .0200 .0100 1.0000 OK
Porto .5800 .3600 .0350 .0150 .0100 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Ajax .9200 .0600 .0100 .0060 .0040 1.0000 OK
Real Madrid .0800 .2980 .3370 .1250 .1600 1.0000 OK
1.0000
OK
Liverpool .3500 .3200 .1800 .0800 .0700 1.0000 OK
Bayern Munich .6500 .2050 .0700 .0400 .0350 1.0000 OK
1.0000 4.0000 2.0000 1.0000 1.0000 16.0000
OK OK OK OK OK OK
Futbolmetrix
2019-02-11 20:17:42 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Agnostic
FiveThirtyEight
Jesus
MH
Futbolmetrix
ClubElo
TransferMarkt
Post by Futbolmetrix
Agnostic
Jesus
Futbolmetrix
FiveThirtyEight
ClubElo
TransferMarkt
Futbolmetrix
2019-02-11 20:21:22 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Post by Futbolmetrix
Agnostic
FiveThirtyEight
Jesus
MH
Futbolmetrix
ClubElo
TransferMarkt
Anders T
Post by Futbolmetrix
Post by Futbolmetrix
Agnostic
Jesus
Futbolmetrix
FiveThirtyEight
ClubElo
TransferMarkt
MH
Werner Pichler
2019-02-12 07:18:42 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Post by Futbolmetrix
https://wordpress.com/post/futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/192
https://futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/2019/02/06/sophisticated-prediction-contest-european-cups-2018-2019-knockout-round/
The always interesting Swiss Ramble has compiled revenue and wage bill data
for the 48 remaining CL and EL clubs:

https://twitter.com/SwissRamble/status/1094880021607522309


Ciao,
Werner
anders t
2019-02-11 20:17:37 UTC
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UCL entry sent!
--
Manchester United FC - CHAMPIONS
Latest: England '13 (20th) Europa '17, UEFA '08, World '08
Futbolmetrix
2019-02-22 16:41:11 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
https://wordpress.com/post/futbolmetrix.wordpress.com/192
EL standings after R32:

ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -15.716
TransferMarkt -16.113
MH -16.215
Futbolmetrix -16.577
Collective Consciousness -16.659
FiveThirtyEight -17.426
Werner Pichler -17.774
Jesus Petry -17.808
Jesper -18.287
Agnostic -22.181

Bots on top, but still very open.
Futbolmetrix
2019-03-27 13:17:15 UTC
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UCL standings after R16:

Jesus Petry -9.371707476
ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -9.921208383
Werner Pichler -10.31879281
FiveThirtyEight -10.3366339
Collective Consciousness -10.54659219
TransferMarkt -10.73522975
Agnostic -11.09035489
Futbolmetrix -11.38402293
MH -11.83820879
Dectech -11.90618542
Anders T -12.0960698
Jesper -12.71847894


EL standings after R16:
Futbolmetrix -24.841
TransferMarkt -24.928
ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -25.000
Collective Consciousness -25.549
MH -25.600
Jesper -25.601
Werner Pichler -27.090
FiveThirtyEight -27.165
Jesus Petry -28.228
Agnostic -33.271


Never has the gap between Real(tm) Football and the money-grabbing Champions League been more apparent!
Werner Pichler
2019-03-27 13:40:20 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Jesus Petry -9.371707476
ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -9.921208383
Werner Pichler -10.31879281
FiveThirtyEight -10.3366339
Collective Consciousness -10.54659219
TransferMarkt -10.73522975
Agnostic -11.09035489
Futbolmetrix -11.38402293
MH -11.83820879
Dectech -11.90618542
Anders T -12.0960698
Jesper -12.71847894
Futbolmetrix -24.841
TransferMarkt -24.928
ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -25.000
Collective Consciousness -25.549
MH -25.600
Jesper -25.601
Werner Pichler -27.090
FiveThirtyEight -27.165
Jesus Petry -28.228
Agnostic -33.271
Never has the gap between Real(tm) Football and the money-grabbing Champions
League been more apparent!
A bit tongue in cheek, but it's interesting that according to the Swiss Ramble
revenue data I posted in this thread it should theoretically have been easier
to predict the Europa League?


CL:

1 Real Madrid OUT
2 Barcelona
3 Man United
4 Bayern München OUT
5 Manchester City
6 Paris Saint-Germain OUT
7 Liverpool
8 Tottenham
9 Juventus
10 Dortmund OUT
11 Atlético OUT
12 Roma OUT
13 Schalke OUT
14 Lyon OUT
15 Porto
16 Ajax

Two of the top 4 already eliminated, bottom two still in it.



Europa League:

1 Chelsea
2 Arsenal
3 Inter OUT
4 Napoli
5 Zenit OUT
6 Leverkusen OUT
7 Sevilla OUT
8 Benfica
9 Lazio OUT
10 Eintracht Frankfurt
11 Celtic OUT
12 Galatasaray OUT
13 Fenerbahçe OUT
14 Salzburg OUT
15 Villarreal
16 Valencia
17 Sporting OUT
18 Betis OUT
19 Rennes OUT
20 Rapid Wien OUT
21 Malmö OUT

Not in the list and still in it: Slavia Praha
Not in the list and eliminated: Viktoria Plzeň, Dinamo Zagreb, Club Brugge,
Genk, Krasnodar, Zürich, Shakhtar Donetsk, Olympiacos, BATE


Valencia and Villarreal are surprisingly low on the list, behind even
Salzburg (whose revenue is bolstered by lucrative player sales, I guess, as in
the wage bill ranking they are way lower), but apart from them and surprise
package Slavia revenue seems to have been a better indicator of success here
than in the Champions League...


Ciao,
Werner
Futbolmetrix
2019-04-24 21:37:57 UTC
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UCL standings after the QFs


Jesus Petry -14.80833646
FiveThirtyEight -15.54537533
ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -15.60291867
Werner Pichler -15.98558739
TransferMarkt -16.11031248
Collective Consciousness -16.23758057
Agnostic -16.63553233
Dectech -17.63567208
MH -17.65792019
Futbolmetrix -18.14211264
Jesper -18.79111186
Anders T -23.07583485



EL standings after the QFs:


ClubElo (by Futbolmetrix) -30.651
TransferMarkt -30.715
MH -31.155
Collective Consciousness -31.470
Jesper -31.503
Futbolmetrix -32.032
FiveThirtyEight -33.219
Werner Pichler -33.485
Jesus Petry -34.076
Agnostic -38.816

Clearly the EL is going down the path of the CL and becoming a money-grabbing machine!
anders t
2019-04-25 17:04:24 UTC
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Post by Futbolmetrix
Anders T -23.07583485
That's pretty bad. *mopes*
--
Manchester United FC - CHAMPIONS
Latest: England '13 (20th) Europa '17, UEFA '08, World '08
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